Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Chinese Economy Slowing...Creating Opertunities
According to numerous Chinese financial experts, the Chinese economy will face greater uncertainty in
2016. The
prospects of global economy recovery are still unclear. If the US Federal
Reserve raises interest rates continuously, it will cause emerging economies to
suffer capital outflow and local currency depreciation. China is under pressure
of de-capacity and industrial deflation, and whether real estate investment
will stabilize remains uncertain. Among these factors, the stabilization of the
Chinese economy will depend more on global economic recovery, the Fed rate hike
and domestic real estate investment, as excess capacity cannot be reduced in
the short term. Economists forecasts that the economy will grow at 6.7
percent this year with further downward pressure in the first six months. But
the economy will stabilize after the second quarter, as the government will
strengthen the current fiscal and monetary policies and the previous policies will
take effect gradually. More than likely, Chinese government will continue to depreciate the RMB to possibly 7.5/1 (compared to USD) to stimulate the manufacturing industry and exports. This will mean a devaluing of Chinese assets. This is the perfect time to invest and prepare for a rebound in 2017.
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